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Home / World / US-Israel attacks on Iran

Flailing support casts doubt on Iran campaign legitimacy

Analysts warn of diplomatic fallout and strategic strain amid widening conflict

By JAN YUMUL in Hong Kong | China Daily | Updated: 2026-03-18 09:29
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Emergency personnel rescue a woman at the site of a strike on a residential building in Tehran on Monday, amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran. MAJID ASGARIPOUR VIA REUTERS

Attacks by the United States and Israel against Iran face a "crisis of legitimacy" after several of Washington's allies refused to join its military campaign in the Middle East, analysts say.

On Monday, European countries such as Spain, Germany and Portugal, as well as the European Union, rejected the US' request for a military mission to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran has closed to "enemies and those supporting their aggression".

Arsenio Dominguez, head of the United Nations' International Maritime Organization, told the Financial Times that military escorts guiding the tankers through the Strait of Hormuz are not a "100 percent guarantee" of safe passage.

Abdolreza Alami, director of the Asia West East Centre in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, told China Daily that the growing refusal by Washington's traditional allies to join this conflict signified a logistic bottleneck and "crisis of legitimacy" for US and Israeli military operations.

The US' key allies in Europe, Asia and Oceania, even Arab allies in the Middle East, have described the war "not as a collective defense, but as a war of choice", Alami said.

The countries' refusal to deploy naval forces to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has left Washington alone to secure a route that carries about 20 percent of the world's energy flow.

This strategic isolation increases the costs of maintaining a prolonged campaign and exposes US forces to asymmetrical pressures without sharing the financial and military burden with allies, Alami said.

Late on Monday, Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian said in a post on X that in his conversation with French President Emmanuel Macron, he emphasized that Iran "did not begin this atrocious war" and that "defending against invasion is a natural right".

"Using the American bases against Iran in the region, with the purpose of disturbing our relations with our neighbors, should be stopped," Pezeshkian said.

"Peace and stability in the region cannot be achieved while disregarding the Zionist-American invasion in our country. The Islamic Republic of Iran will not surrender to bullies," he said.

Iran expected the global community "to condemn this invasion and convince invaders to respect international laws", he added.

Alami said that for Iran, this discord within the Western consensus creates a strategic opportunity.

"The decline in international support for the US has allowed Tehran to frame its retaliatory actions as 'legitimate defense' against unilateral aggression, thereby strengthening its diplomatic position," he said.

"Ultimately, Iran's goal is not merely to impose economic pain, but to pressure America's allies into pushing Washington toward de-escalation and a cessation of attacks," he added.

Security chief killed

Meanwhile, Israel said on Tuesday that it killed two senior Iranian security officials in overnight strikes.

Both Ali Larijani, secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, and Gholamreza Soleimani, commander of Iran's Basij volunteer force, were "eliminated last night", Defense Minister Israel Katz said.

The killing of Larijani, if confirmed by Tehran, would represent the highest-profile assassination since Iran's supreme leader Ali Khamenei and other senior figures were slain on Feb 28.

An Israeli military official said the army had also targeted a top military commander of Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Akram al-Ajouri, in a strike in Iran and was assessing whether he had been killed.

In Baghdad, Iraq, a drone and rocket attack targeted the US embassy early on Tuesday, while a strike killed four people at a house reportedly hosting Iranian advisers, security officials said.

The strikes came hours after air defenses thwarted a rocket attack at the embassy and a drone sparked a fire at a luxury hotel frequented by foreign diplomats in Baghdad's fortified Green Zone.

In another development, envoys from the US-led "Board of Peace" met representatives of Palestinian militant group Hamas in Cairo, Egypt, over the weekend, concerning the Gaza ceasefire, which had largely been overshadowed by the regional strikes.

Jawaid Iqbal, vice-chancellor of Baba Ghulam Shah Badshah University in India, said Israel shut down Gaza's border after the onset of the Iran war, citing security reasons. It later allowed a limited amount of aid into Gaza, but refused to open the sole pedestrian crossing at Rafah.

Hamas warned that it would withdraw from the ceasefire agreement if Israel prolonged the new restrictions imposed during the Iran war.

Agencies and Xinhua contributed to this story.

jan@chinadailyapac.com

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